Is RMR mainly ModRoc (NAR) or HPR (TRA) *Enough Now!!!*

Is RMR mainly ModRoc (NAR) or HPR (TRA) *Enough Now!!!*

Post by PeteAlw » Wed, 19 Nov 1997 04:00:00

<>I was recently on the NAR webpage where they boast about having over
<>65,000 members over the last 30 (or so) years. How many paid members
<>does NAR have now? 5000, more, less?  

That's 40 years.  So if we assume the average member has been in for 40 *
 (5000/65,000) we get 3.08 years.
<>If its 65K and 5k then only 7.7% are still NAR members.  
<>TRA has had about 7500 members over about 16 years and about 2500
<>still members?
we get an average membership period of
16 * (2500/7500) or about 5.33 years.

So about 33% are still TRA.
<>NAR has lost 60,000 members,  and TRA has lost 5,000 in half as
Absolute numbers of lost members is a bad comparison for organizations of such
 different sizes and ages.

the relevent figures would be a 3 year NAR average membership duration vs a 5
 year TRA average membership duration.  

My figures assume a constant membership for both organizations,  If one is
 undergoing a growth spurt now, it would give the impression of a longer
 average time as a member.  (if the NAR had been going along at 2500 members
 for the last 40 years, and then membership jumped to 5000 last year, the real
 average membership duration would be more like 1.5 years, and we would have no
 way of knowing how long the new 2500 would stay.  This hasn't happened at the
 NAR, but if TRA has had a rapid growth spurt in the last couple years, it
 could easily skew the numbers.  Has TRA been growing rapidly?  I don't know,
 but it seems likely to me.  If TRA membership was significantly lower 2 or
 three years ago, the 5-year figure could be significantly too high.  Of course
 growth would be a separate issue to brag about.)

<>Hmmm, looks like NAR's the one with the repeat membership problem

To the extent that this is so, it may well be due to the fact that many NAR
 members are kids.  Another factor is that the NAR accumulated a lot of
 ex-members during the space-crazed 60's.  The loss of those members when space
 became passe in the 1960's would not reflect on NAR management.

Peter Alway